Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1102.522066 1250.129470 1413.652102 1608.845345 1836.284409 2093.860038 2408.961961
2025-09-21 852.071092 1040.804592 1269.008851 1567.691795 1951.882736 2434.292030 3093.556377
2025-09-28 709.657111 908.453297 1162.599283 1515.796991 2001.033695 2654.778397 3620.351160
2025-10-05 646.447308 860.886561 1148.321533 1569.017631 2181.398068 3060.085711 4453.376969
2025-10-12 589.293136 810.989469 1120.170819 1593.045158 2316.553563 3413.580128 5266.912076
2025-10-19 542.192598 767.874794 1093.763479 1612.057270 2441.438513 3763.962955 6133.797043
2025-10-26 502.617475 730.291712 1069.495896 1628.449541 2560.508132 4118.080989 7068.989011
2025-11-02 475.695708 708.147470 1064.931784 1673.260614 2729.103934 4576.869244 8278.175455
2025-11-09 445.782829 677.960796 1043.843250 1687.005026 2844.421822 4957.202342 9413.970911
2025-11-16 418.326412 648.795148 1020.903675 1693.793009 2946.449822 5326.306603 10602.252279
2025-11-23 395.920488 625.607444 1005.154182 1710.472163 3067.477628 5748.809981 11994.850777
2025-11-30 377.579091 607.411414 995.786510 1736.894078 3209.555224 6234.801859 13641.343798
2025-12-07 347.297762 567.216384 945.950245 1685.196529 3195.551744 6404.864460 14613.741537
2025-12-14 320.693060 531.432339 901.047448 1638.496879 3186.640453 6587.657157 15675.399472
2025-12-21 295.843005 496.734435 854.960387 1584.130762 3153.536012 6709.287360 16607.693372
2025-12-28 288.069316 492.010965 863.615544 1640.150359 3367.545244 7445.912177 19446.482327
2026-01-04 276.981900 480.257264 857.802759 1665.459732 3516.197563 8052.603972 22101.730332
2026-01-11 266.148622 468.086276 850.007372 1685.486652 3655.354879 8662.558379 24970.674399
2026-01-18 255.842298 456.098485 841.455433 1702.755743 3790.371074 9288.951326 28114.471475
2026-01-25 249.378781 450.999607 846.185731 1749.971509 4006.707793 10185.151080 32537.037281
2026-02-01 240.077389 439.620918 837.053725 1764.455747 4141.797447 10878.824405 36497.777826
2026-02-08 230.743361 427.503613 825.355667 1771.609498 4258.832712 11545.184769 40634.789310
2026-02-15 222.967097 417.984171 818.358281 1789.188483 4407.084455 12342.838531 45675.435324